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When AI Meets Human Judgement in Natural Hazard Decisions

[09/26] At Trieste Next 2026, IHRR Professor Fausto Guzzetti will discuss how artificial intelligence can strengthen natural-hazard decisions without replacing human responsibility.
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Should physical models be replaced by machine learning?

[09/26] With rapid advances in artificial intelligence, machine-learning models are increasingly challenging traditional physics-based approaches to forecasting complex systems. This is particularly visible in areas such as weather and climate prediction, where recent AI systems have demonstrated impressive forecasting skill. But does this mean that physical models should eventually be replaced by purely data-driven approaches?
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Visiting Research at IHRR: Xiangxue Lu

[09/26] Xiangxue Lu is a Master’s student in Geological Engineering at Nanjing University, China, and is currently undertaking a six-month research visit at the Institute of Hazard, Risk and Resilience (IHRR), Durham University. Her visit provides an opportunity to develop new research ideas at the interface of geomorphological hazards, data-driven methods and environmental risk.
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New Bayesian Framework Accounts for Uncertainty in Landslide Forecasts

[09/26] A new paper co-authored by IHRR member Professor Fausto Guzzetti presents a Bayesian framework for rainfall-triggered landslide forecasts that explicitly accounts for uncertainty.
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IHRR risk communication workshop continues at CNR in Rome

[09/26] Professor Fausto Guzzetti is convening a sister workshop in Rome after co-convening IHRR’s workshop on communicating difficult messages about hazard, risk and uncertainty.
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Relational Resilience: From Noticing to Collective Capability

[07/26] New thinking on relational resilience highlights the vital role of relationships in shaping how people notice risks, understand needs and work together to build collective capability during disruption.
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ReSC: What does a good mass casualty plan look like?

[09/26] What does a good mass casualty plan actually look like? That was the deceptively simple question behind ReSC, Resilient Systems for Mass Casualty Planning, a SALIENT-funded collaboration between NHS Highland and Durham University’s Institute of Hazard, Risk and Resilience.
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International experts gather at IHRR to examine risk communication under uncertainty

[09/26] An IHRR workshop will bring together 39 researchers, public authorities and professional communicators to examine how difficult messages about hazards, risk and uncertainty can support decisions.
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IHRR Fellow awarded €100,000 to launch Political Risk Laboratory

[09/26] IHRR Fellow Professor Stavros Zenios has been awarded €100,000 to establish PoliRiskLab at the Cyprus Academy of Sciences, with the research feeding a new Durham master's module.
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IHRR Expertise Connects Landslide Forecasts with Action at International GEOS Symposium in Oslo

[09/26] Professor Fausto Guzzetti will address GEOS 2026 in Oslo, linking advances in landslide forecasting with communication, trust, ethics, and decision-making for effective risk reduction.
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IHRR Associate's research advances risk-aware control of multi-energy systems

[07/26] Learning-Enhanced Stochastic Model Predictive Control with Trustworthy Forecasting for Resilient Multi-Energy Microgrid Operation was published in Applied Energy (Vol. 422) in 2026. The paper was accepted on 23 June 2026 and became available online on 30 June 2026.
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IHRR Contributes to International Geohazards, Climate Change and Resilience Summer School in Aosta, Italy

[07/26] Professor Fausto Guzzetti will lecture at the 5th IAEG Summer School in Aosta, Italy, discussing landslide prediction, uncertainty, risk, and how forecasts can support decisions.
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